REEL BRIEF’s Oscar Nominations…

This morning at 5:30 am Pacific Time, the 87th Academy Awards announces their Oscar nominations.  Below are my predictions.

The Oscars show airs February 22nd on ABC at 7 ET/4 PT.

Here’s what I’m looking for from this morning’s Oscar nominations:

1.  Does ‘Boyhood’ continue its dominance in award nominations and success from last Sunday’s Golden Globe Awards?

2.  Will ‘Birdman’ have the most Oscar nominations?

3.  The Best Director category is this year’s most difficult list to get down to only 5 nominees.  Who will be left off?  Clint Eastwood (American Sniper), Ava DuVernay (Selma) or Angelina Jolie (Unbroken) are the names to watch for omission.  Not likely all 3 will make the cut down, and 2 of 3 still might be impossible still.

4.  Will ‘Guardians of the Galaxy’ find any Oscar love?  As the #1 domestic box office hit, the film has clout and plenty of supporters, including me.  I think it makes the Best Picture nom list!

5.  Can ‘Nightcrawler’ earn a Best Picture nomination?  Many (including me) would consider it an “Oscar surprise” if this dark thriller made the list of 10 best films for 2014…but don’t discard the movie and that possibility out of hand.  Was Jake Gyllenhaal’s performance in ‘Nightcrawler’ enough to earn him a Best Actor nomination?  A strong argument can be made that it was.

6.  The biggest surprise today could easily be ‘Whiplash’.  Many are talking (rightfully so) about J.K. Simmons’ powerful performance in the film and a Best Supporting Actor nom (a lock!).  But this movie could also make the Best Picture and Best Director categories–making it one of the most shocking upsets today and places ‘Whiplash’ in a very good position come Feb. 22.

7.  Other dark horse names?  Kristen Stewart (Still Alice) for Best Supporting Actress.   Shailene Woodley for Best Actress in ‘The Fault in Our Stars’. I must throw in Brendan Gleeson, from ‘Calvary’, as having serious potential to turn heads and make the Best Actor list.  Christopher Nolan (Best Director) and ‘Interstellar’ (Best Picture) are both long odds but not insurmountable for this decade’s best director and a movie with Lincoln’s Matthew McConaughey–never discount those two, especially when placed together…and McConaughey driving around cornfields aimlessly mumbling to himself.

8.  Will Meryl Streep continue her Oscar dominance?  Streep has more Academy Award nominations than anyone else–by far.  Her 18 Oscar nominations (3 wins) and 28 Golden Globe nominations (including for “Into the Woods”) make Streep a slam dunk for her 19th Academy Award nomination for ‘Into the Woods’.  If Streep’s name is left off today’s nominations (not likely) that will make news.

9.  Look for ‘The Imitation Game’ to rebound from Sunday’s disappointing Golden Globe Awards outcome.  This fine film will earn several Oscar nominations today (Director, Actor, Actress and Film are likely).  With 3-4 Oscar noms this film gets its mojo back for next month’s Academy Awards show.

10.  Reese Witherspoon is expected to have a very good day today for ‘Wild’.  I, too, predict that her name to be announced in the Best Actress category-but it’s not a sure bet.

My Predictions on Oscar Nominations

Best Supporting Actress

Patricia Arquette – Boyhood

Laura Dern – Wild

Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game

Meryl Streep – Into the Woods

Emma Stone – Birdman

 

Best Supporting Actor

Robert Duvall – The Judge

Ethan Hawke – Boyhood

Edward Norton – Birdman

Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher

J.K. Simmons – Whiplash

 

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything

Julianne Moore – Still Alice

Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl

Hilary Swank – The Homesman

Reese Witherspoon – Wild

 

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Bradley Cooper – American Sniper

Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game

Michael Keaton – Birdman

David Oyelowo – Selma

Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything

 

Best Director

Wes Anderson – The Grand Budapest Hotel

Clint Eastwood – American Sniper

David Fincher – Gone Girl

Alejandro G. Inarritu – Birdman

Richard Linklater – Boyhood

 

Best Picture

American Sniper

Birdman

Boyhood

Gone Girl

Guardians of the Galaxy

The Imitation Game

The Theory of Everything

Selma

Still Alice

Unbroken

***

What say you?

© 2015, Patrick. All rights reserved.



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"Patrick, you are my go-to guy when it comes to the box office".   - Judy O.

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